A disability-led, gated roadmap for locally owned, accessible community hubs. Nothing scales until people with lived experience, cultural stewards and independent reviewers say it is safe to.
[CONCEPT][SYNTHETIC]No operating mesh exists. No pilots, partners or funding reported.
Schematic only. Node counts are illustrative, not targets. [SYNTHETIC]
01 · Five epochs
Each five-year epoch ends at a review gate
The plan does not promise growth. It promises that growth only happens after an exit condition is met and published. If a gate fails, the plan pauses at that epoch.
1
2026–2031
Seed & Gate
One reviewed pilot hub in Fredericton, then a paired second hub. Safe AI lessons and co-design sessions before any build.
Exit gate: Accessibility, privacy, consent and cultural-authority review passed; limitations published openly.
2
2031–2036
Pair & Learn
Small number of community-owned hubs linked for shared learning; local renewable power where feasible.
Exit gate: Independent evaluation of the pilots with a named evaluator, method and public report.
3
2036–2041
Regional Mesh
Regional mesh only where communities request it; each node keeps local data ownership.
Exit gate: Consent withdrawal honoured end-to-end; no regional data pooling without agreement.
4
2041–2046
Continental Bridges
Bridges between regions in multiple languages; open-source toolkit maintained by the commons.
Exit gate: Governance charter ratified by participating communities; audit logs reviewed.
5
2046–2051
Planetary Commons
A cooperative, locally governed commons. One planet, not one AI future.
Exit gate: Continuous review: any node may pause, correct or leave at any time.
02 · Scientific model
Gated diffusion, not hype curves
We model adoption with the Bass diffusion equation, multiplied by a gate function that only opens after a published review. Output is normalised to a planned capacity K = 100%, so it shows shape and timing, never people, revenue or jobs. [SYNTHETIC]
G1 one reviewed pilot hub · G2 paired hubs · E1–E4 epoch reviews release capacity ceilings of 10%, 35%, 70%, 100%. Band: q ∈ [0.25, 0.45].
Governing equation
dN/dt = G(t) · (p + q·N/K) · (K − N)
N ≤ Ce (epoch ceiling)
G(t) ∈ {0, 1} opens only after review
Assumptions [SYNTHETIC]
p (innovation)
0.01
q (imitation)
0.25 – 0.45
K (capacity)
100% (normalised)
Step
1 year, Euler
Gated 2041
43.6%
Ungated 2041
81.9%
Scenario model, not a forecast. Values describe the model, not the world.
03 · Evidence discipline
Claim ladder: where we honestly are
Every public statement climbs this ladder one rung at a time. Today the plan sits on the first rungs.
RUNG 1
Concept
An idea proposed in the framework
● We are here
RUNG 2
Prototype
A buildable or partially built component
◐ Interface prototype only
RUNG 3
Synthetic illustration
A model output based on stated assumptions
● We are here
RUNG 4
Tested pilot
A real activity with documented participants and results
○ Not yet
RUNG 5
Independently evaluated
External review with a named evaluator, method and report
○ Not yet
04 · Community pathway
Eight stages, each with an exit condition
This loop repeats inside every epoch, in every community. A hub that cannot pass a stage does not move on.
1
STAGE 1
Local need
Community members identify a real, non-sensitive problem.
2
STAGE 2
Safe AI lesson
Participants understand AI limits, privacy, bias and oversight.
3
STAGE 3
Co-design session
Accessibility, cultural and community requirements are documented.
4
STAGE 4
Prototype
A small, reversible version is built with documented assumptions.
5
STAGE 5
Consent-based testing
Participants understand what is tested and can withdraw.
6
STAGE 6
Review gate
Safety, accessibility, privacy, cultural authority and claims are checked.
7
STAGE 7
Open learning
Results, limitations and improvements are shared transparently.
8
STAGE 8
Careful scale-up
Expansion only after the review gate is passed.
05 · Designed with, not for
Six co-design roles with real decision rights
Participation personas, each with a purpose, decision rights, safeguards and a next action.
09Let the person stop, correct, delete or withdraw at any time.
10Distinguish facts, assumptions, opinions, creative content and synthetic examples.
08 · What we will measure
Indicators, not promises
No data yet. These are defined now so results can be checked later.
ACCESS
WCAG 2.2 AA conformance of every interface (audited, not self-declared)
NO DATA
AGENCY
Share of consent withdrawals honoured end-to-end within the stated time
NO DATA
LEARNING
Understand → Apply → Create progression completed in Safe AI lessons
NO DATA
BELONGING
Co-design sessions where lived-experience members held decision rights
NO DATA
ENERGY
Share of hub energy from local renewable sources (metered)
NO DATA
TRUTH
Public claims checked against the claim ladder before publication
NO DATA
09 · Why it matters
1 in 6
people live with significant disability [REPORTED]
The World Health Organization estimates about 1.3 billion people, roughly 16% of the world, live with significant disability. A plan for one planet that is not designed with them is not a plan for one planet. Over 25 years, this roadmap keeps them in the decision seat at every gate.